Well now it’s at least trying to talk to the Atmel ICE, but it doesn’t get far. Per other topics like Atmel-ICE with macOS Catalina - #6 by jeanlouis.lumia it should work okay.
There is a post at Unfreeze Your Atmel-ICE – Arduino Craft Corner about a custom avrdude version. Does the last command, adapated to avrdude -c atmelice_isp -p m32u4 -v -t , show something?